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let me give you a piece of advice, make damn sure you guard your anonymity........
You can do a search for GU i've talked about, by typing GU into the box in the left uppermost corner of this blog.
results of GU search
link below--
http://beanieville.blogspot.com/search?q=GU
sorry i didn't have time to let all in room know about BIDU short, 60 min turned bearish at 280, short interest almost non-existant.... the perfect storm...a rarity.... i'll try to clue you in on the setup next time, i know it's hard to watch and see everything, rode that bad boy down like a rented mule from 280 to 270 and change....is this a great country or what ?
space shuttle buy signal ? lmao.... man you gotta copywrite that one.... that's great...... btw, the video is hysterical..... shades of the escher staircase ?
the video blows me away too---
never seen any thing like it---
zee
489 then 482 test buy points on GOOG, if those fail, then short..... BIDU needs to hold 280 tommorrow, if not, short again
drop down 185 - 186 buy in morn on FSLR..... tight stop.... reverse at 204 - 210 on short
Do any of you all do iron condors for income? I'm looking into doing them on IWM. I'll let everyone know how that goes.
When you do this you hope for the stock to stay between the outer strikes, with the maximum gain when the stock is at the mid strike price.
If you have followed my trades here for the last couple of weeks, I do these right before an earnings announcement because implied volatility is high i.e. the options are expensive. The butterfly profits from the decrease in implied volatility. Basically this happens when the mid strike that I short decreases by much more than the two options I buy.
You may ask why I buy the two calls. I do this to prevent an unlimited loss. You can profit from a decrease in implied volatility by selling a call and put at the same strike, but this could cause an unlimited loss. With these the most you can lose is the amount you put in.
Because you are trading 4 options with 3 different strikes, you are having to pay 3 different bid ask spreads, so you need to know what the spread is. I generally avoid doing these when the bid ask spread is $0.50. Also use an options friendly broker to do these because commissions will eat you alive also. It generally costs me $3.40 for each of these with Interactive Brokers. ETrade would be 10x that probably.
If anyone has any questions feel free to ask.
shorted BIDU 280, GOOG at 498 and change...... like Fortune said, it looks cracked...... I like it in the low 400's for a long term buy......
yo estoy corto BIDU..... lol
01:06am [GOOG] Cut from Goldman's "conviction buy" list
750, 850, price targets and now the stock is dead money
p/e contraction...its done UNLESS its not
my guess...bull run in GOOG will start month before earnings
ur rich enough not to have these ads
i cant view this site properly in internet explorer last few weeks...did u change sometime recently
i got errors that shut me down every other time i open it up in a tab
As stated before, you should download firefox and it should fix all problems.
So even though these ads could be annoying to internet explorer users, know that it could fund my super intelligent kid's future education. Get firefox and everything will be ok. I use firefox and have never had any crash or ads hovering over the comments.
good luck and i'll see ya in the morning.
http://techland.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2008/02/0...
The Relief Rally Has Become Short-Term Overbought
http://www.indexindicators.com/content/the-reli...
All dips need to be bought.
you would think they would blot out tim sykes account number but no, its visible
watching second showing of mad money and i like his seven dwarfs analogy
so i loaded up with QLD after hours
looking for QQQQ rally into and after CSCO earnings wed afternoon
what the hell is with BSX releasing earnings tonight when they are supposed to release tomorrow?
BIDU collapse after 3pm was like a relief to shorts (I didn't trade it much today) but how it managed to up 4-5% all day was a miracle
Dozens of U.S. banks will fail by 2010 (or something like that):
http://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/news/busine...
i just they felt they overdid it in reg hours
still...overpriced POS
no more shorts in BIDU until 263............
BSX is a no go.
193 or better as overnite buy if you must make a trade.
Have a great day!!
Still holding YGE calls though
play small.
Make your position small and if something doesn't feel right tomorrow, GET OUT!
I would not play AAPL just yet, going to see if I can I get it for 126+
FSLR will report on Feb 13.
The duel between Shawn and I continues.
This will be very interesting as both CME and FSLR will report this month.
I had a feeling that would happen, but want to raise cash.
Now, I just need to time MA
I used to own SBS but have not looked at in in a while.
been busy with the tax season and have to head to work in 30 mins
asked for mornings off so I can trade the market.
personally, I like to see a crack below that.
it might get a dead cat bounce but the damage has been done
finally got some profit in PBW feb22c.
that was a tough battle and hopefully solars can get a few more days of rally.
GOOG in the low 400's, I just can't imagine that....... lol
I am holding till it fills the gaps
looks like we might be getting some traction, hard to tell, but we are way oversold.....
GS turning a death cross up, might be a mkt turn
no adds !!!
just comments
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2008-02/04/c...
I think this stock has much more room to run.
I don't put too much money into low floaters.
Monday:
RMBS
Tuesday:
AVP (before the bell), BSX (before the bell), CBG, EW, DIS
Wednesday:
CI (before market open), EDS, RJET
Thursday:
ATVI, AOC
I'll add more throughout the week right here on Beanie's blog. Always use an options friendly broker before doing spread trades, or else you will be killed on commissions and the bid ask spread.
I just have straight out FEB IWM puts barely in the money-----going for a 300%--er
zee
reports feb 7 BMO---there’s a guaranteed disaster / train wreck---
waiting to happen---
XLE is 61.8% up on monday and down on tues---
I think XLE down tomorrow hurts IWM--
so i'm short IWM too---
zee
sheaffer .com has them reporting tomorrow---
stupid shaeffer people----
How in the heck is CSCO under $30----
I hope that gives you a hint on which way
i think CSCO goes on earnings---
I never seen a space shuttle buy signal before---
zee
CAL--my CAL short worked
JASO --my jaso buy --worked
there's a couple others in that group HMY and someone else---
Has a perfect SPACE SHUTTLE signal----
It looks like the space shuttle---
Buy now at 13.8 or wait for 13.20 support---
back when there was a whiff of competition --to GRMN---
I'll wait for the first up day on GOOG---falling knife---
zee
Banks did get downgraded today---
I dont understand..you say you love these stocks, then you criticize people for buying when they are up <5%, then you hype the stocks once they are higher than the point where you criticized people for buying...
I faded the gaps this morning for a daytrade, and I'll be back the last 30 minutes to see if we can get some overnite daytrades.
end the monoploy of GOO over internet...Hey I know MSFT has monoploy in PC's..lol..
sold calls against JASO purchased at 55.50
and AKNS at these price levels?
SOL breaking the new highs...wait for volume and we open at $16+..
This is in LDK line of business.
I wonder if that Anon that asked friday if he should buy YGE took my advice hopefully
YGE is super oversold and is going to blow past resistance? hmmm
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080130/market_spotlight...
because they are not on my list but will have to add them
JASO to 47
FSLR to 150
STP to 45
all lows get tested
FSLR at 193
just incredible !!!
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/chinas-re...
short MA at 217-218 cover at 220-221
not sure if they will get there watch the intraday charts and it it looks like it is hitting resistance then pull the trigger.
I hope your right about MA. I like it as well and started a short position on Friday. I also have QID. I am also holding a few CME calls into earnings
trading range has been 50-55
http://seekingalpha.com/article/62912-jobless-c...
you could have bought MOO cheaper than what I paid for - 45
Hong Kong up 3.2%
Japan up 2.6%
zstock: shows 22.8 as the huge resistance----
I want to get out
You'll have to complain to the wife.. (not recommended! lol)
but in one or two days the buy signal --turns into 50/50 signal---
and by then the BB13 upper band takes over as the signal of choice---
and where there fore QQQQ will be a strong short candidate---
Feb 7th at the latest-
zee
I think something is up between Finerman and SOLF...lol
Docqb,
You are a big lier. GOOG never goes low 400 today. You do not have to lie even you are a short.
Four words: Growth, Energy,
Green and China. A new Buy.
Initiating with Buy, 65% upside potential
We are initiating coverage of Gushan with a Buy recommendation and a price
objective of US$15.50/ADS, which implies 65% upside potential. Our valuation
incorporates a LT oil price assumption of US$70/bbl and a WACC of 12.0%. Risks
include Chinese diesel pricing, availability of sufficient raw materials at reasonable
cost, project delays and standard industrial operating risks.
Production capacity expected to triple
Gushan is the leading producer of bio-diesel in China with installed capacity of
190ktpa. This is expected to more than double to 400ktpa by end-08 and then
another 50% to 600ktpa by end-2009. We are forecasting profit to increase by
almost 150% over this period.
Technology and feedstock advantage driving high margins
Gushan’s propriety processing technology allows it to convert low grade waste
cooking oils into high quality diesel, generating EBITDA margins of ~40% and
ROCE of over 30%. This has led to an enviable four year track record of
profitability, which is quite rare for alternative energy companies.
High quality, environmentally friendly product
Gushan’s bio-diesel meets European fuel standards and has significantly lower
emissions than conventional diesel. While pricing is currently in line with
conventional diesel in the future we believe it is likely to attract some premium
reflecting its environmental benefits. Furthermore there is potential for the
company to receive tax exemptions under the Renewable Energy Law.
Estimates (Dec)
(US$) 2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E
Net Income (Adjusted - CNY mn) 152.53 332.80 298.45 517.47 732.85
EPS 0.332 0.653 0.577 0.871 1.28
EPS Change (YoY) 85.4% 96.4% -11.6% 50.9% 46.6%
Dividend / Share 0 0 0 0.261 0.383
Free Cash Flow / Share (CNY) -0.207 1.39 -0.897 -3.07 5.88
Valuation (Dec)
2005A 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E
P/E 28.3x 14.4x 16.3x 10.8x 7.4x
Dividend Yield 0% 0% 0% 2.8% 4.1%
EV / EBITDA* 24.56x 12.25x 11.16x 6.79x 4.85x
Free Cash Flow Yield* -0.188% 1.41% -0.983% -4.53% 8.68%
* For full definitions of iQmethod SM measures, see page 23.
Initial Opinion BUY
Equity | China | Energy Technology
28 January 2008
Stuart B Smith >> +65 6330 7212
Research Analyst
Merrill Lynch (Singapore)
stuart_b_smith@ml.com
Bin Guan >>>
Research Analyst
b in_guan@ml.com
Stock Data
Price US$9.39
Price Objective US$15.50
Date Established 28-Jan-2008
Investment Opinion C-1-7
Volatility Risk HIGH
52-Week Range US$7.00-US$12.72
Mrkt Val / Shares Out (mn) US$783 / 83.4
Average Daily Volume NA
ML Symbol / Exchange GU / NYS
Bloomberg / Reuters GU US / GU.N
ROE (2007E) 20.1%
Net Dbt to Eqty (Dec-2007A) -29.3%
Est. 5-Yr EPS / DPS Growth 25.3% / 0%
F ree Float 21.6%
I missed the IPO at 100 to 650 and there is no way I am chasing it down.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fet0SCt7uGg
Maybe beanie will post it on his site.
Cheap solar plays and go...ready..start...get in while u can
http://seekingalpha.com/article/62792-at-30-mic...
once FSLR crosses $200 its going to be wild ride again for solars
Where are you? today is your day...shout if u see this
loaded just half an hour ago puts Feb $5 @ 40c... and plenty of them...
so far so good...
i posted a test message on Yahoo Msg Board of e*trade... ppl hate me... it confirms that everyone is long...
market is down and my puts are trading 50c already...
it confirms its gonna be a huge trade for me.
for those who have not read it please visit my blog
http://www.scibbytrading.blogspot.com/
click on the first article.
Good day. I will update you when ETFC goes below $4 which is where i will close.
http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_t...
What is your call on PBW? It appears that Z does not like the technicals on it.
look at the shipping stocks... for e.g. look at DRYS ... hit a high of 130 and fell to 48... same is happening with these solars... I know your site is not a recommendations site but I would advise with caution (say issue a stop loss point) so as to safeguard if a trade goes wrong.
cheers ...
do not forget to visit my idea on ETFC
www.scibbytrading.blogspot.com
Why are you going to steal my lines -- "beanie, I do not agree with your blogs sometimes"
This is what I have been saying all along. At the same time, people should not be trading following a blog as it can be very risky.
This is why I provide entry and exit point. Sometimes, I see people get stuck holding the bag when beanie has already exited the stock a long time ago.
Another consideration is that, missed opportunities is not seen until it is missed.
Your example of DRYS is a good one because I missed that one at 48.
SuperBowl time !!!
I may hedge or sell it temporarily if i feel it's going down below 500.
currently making new highs as I type
$18.60 & beyond
i can't believe GIGM touched sub-$13 just a couple of weeks ago
this is usually viewed as a bad thing, but i believe there is absolutley NO selling pressure here until GIGM runs up against its 52-week high of $25
there are absolutely NO sellers after GIGM was completely washed out on its way down to $13
GIGM may see some resistance around the $21 mark, though
Get some SOL...new solar IPO trying to run
customers :STP,SOLF, JASO and other chines leading solars
In the first nine months of 2007, sales nearly tripled over the prior year to $153 million. Net income rose from $15 million to $25.5 million.
Yingli Green Energy - ADR Oppenheimer makes some cautious comments (timing uncertain)
- says "2008 guidance and Poly Procurement nothing to write home about"
- "Valuation looks compelling on '09 EPS, but still rather expensive on '08."
with YUM, wendy's beaten down PE of 40 is too expensive...what's your thoughts?
GOOG will lead the rally on Monday.
Yahoo! Office > Google Office
Yahoo! Outlook > Gmail
Yahoo! + MSN search > Google Search???