DISQUS

Beanieville: Banks need to raise 143 billion from bond insurer downgrades

  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    The Thursday overnite daytrades (there were 5-6 of them) actually turned out to be a success by the close of friday. I panicked at the Microsoft earnings unneccesarily at the start of friday (even though the day was still young), but was able to make a profit on the 2 overnite trades i made by later afternoon. Hopefully, nobody here lost big on those overnites.
  • barry · 1 year ago
    AAPL looks to me like it could go to around 90 in
    a worst case scenario. Just above it's 52 wk low
    of 82. Of course the fate of pretty much all stocks
    holding their '08 lows hinges on whether we hold
    last weeks lows on the Dow Industials.Big 2
    weeks coming up I think.Unfortunately for the
    die-hard non trading perma bulls,the market...
    and all expensive stocks are very vulnerable at
    any moment here to ANY futher percieved bad
    news on just about anything.
  • Luis · 1 year ago
    Ditto
  • Docqb · 1 year ago
    my vote, no bust till we put in right shoulder
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    I am also now leaning on no bust. The reason is because we're coming off from very oversold levels. Even though we ended the day with a bearish engulfing pattern, it is very possible we will gap higher on monday and trade within friday's range.
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    Stocks went so low---RSI 15 thru 19--
    It takes a long long time for them to come back up---
    and in a lot of cases the last low isn't the low at all---
    zee
    Here's an example---
    If you missed AAPL at 126---
    You'll get another chance
  • Docqb58 · 1 year ago
    You mean, AAPL could go to the 90's ?
  • BM1087 · 1 year ago
    I see some support around 110 from the Aug/Sept bounce. Anyone agree?
  • fortune8 · 1 year ago
    show me the chart !!!

    support is at 126.
  • Docqb · 1 year ago
    And the support under 126 is ?
  • fortune8 · 1 year ago
    stock has to break resistance to go up higher and support to go lower.

    support: 126/122/116/112/110

    resistance: 134/136/140
  • BM1087 · 1 year ago
    You guys know if 126 doesn't hold it will slice (pun intended) right through 122/116/112/ and even over shoot 110. But I'm a buyer anyway at 110. Time will tell.
  • BM1087 · 1 year ago
    My comment was on the assumption that 126 breaks and next stop a bounce around 110. Seems to be a lot of momentum heading down.
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    PBW at these levels are a steal. You gonna be super happy in a few years. In my opinion, it's probably the best single place to put your money as it blankets nearly the entire alternative energy sector.
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    It's a super buy for your IRA.
  • Luis · 1 year ago
    That makes perfect sense !
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    ok, i need to look at the charts again this weekend. We may or may not go bust on monday.
  • richb7a · 1 year ago
    I would cover aci at the open. Coal can move higher next weekmuch higher.
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    OIH,SLX,GDX,XLE stocks in this sector--most are at the first resistance price--
    most coal stocks are above a stretched out upper BB13 band--
  • richb7a · 1 year ago
    Coal futures were up above 70 dollars on friday. Do you see aci, joyg, bursting higher next week?
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    Half the stocks (all sectors) I've looked at are 50/50 to me--
    I can't tell if they pulled back for just the one day on a momo play--
    or really reached resistance
    zee
  • lisa · 1 year ago
    Friday, January 25th, 2008Green Chip Stocks | Editors | About Green Chip | Member Login | Join GCS

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Market Meltdown or not, Alternative Energy Advances
    By Jeff Siegel


    Well there's nothing like a complete market meltdown to make you question every move you make.

    On Wednesday, the market began to stage an impressive comeback. The Fed jumped in with a rate cut, the stimulus deal was underway and a lot of strong earnings were forecast for today.

    Unfortunately, many counted their post-meltdown chickens before they were hatched.

    Relief quickly turned to panic again around 12:00 this afternoon as the market started giving up early gains. But really, what did we expect?

    The problems that led us to this most recent implosion won't magically disappear with a panic-driven rate cut, billions of dollars worth of rebate checks and a quick round of strong earnings that, you know as well as I do, will be overshadowed by the next round of dismal earnings.

    Meanwhile, the headline "Societe Generale Apologizes Over Fraud" just happened to have made its way into my spam folder exactly 7 times today (I'm still a bit sketchy on how exactly one trader pulled off a $7 billion fast-one), while rumors of possible trouble with another hedge fund hit the news wires. Though until stories like these become validated, it's difficult to separate truth from manipulated truth.

    Regardless, none of this is going to contribute to an extension of yesterday's rally.

    But then again, no one should've really been that surprised. Even without that laundry list, after coming off two days of heavy gains, it's normal to expect investors to take some profits off the table when the market is this shaky.

    The question now is-how do we proceed?

    Advertisement

    Revealed: My Next +300% Alternative Energy Blockbuster...

    The renewable and alternative energy industry is the hottest sector in the market making a handful of investors quite a bit of extra income. And we've just uncovered a company whose energy-saving technology will soon be installed on every residential home in America.

    The stock is an easy triple within 6 months! Details.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For the answer to this, I'll have to draw on something a truck driver told me in Indiana during a tornado alert in 2003. Being unfamiliar with the protocol during a tornado warning (we don't get many of those here in Baltimore), I asked him what we were supposed to do, after I heard the warning siren. He said, "Hold on to your ass, and sit tight!"

    If you're in this thing for the long-haul, then you probably know that selling into something like this will only leave you kicking yourself later. Of course, if you're a trader, then this is certainly a good time to go hunting. But that requires a level of cojones that even I'm not willing to take on for at least another week or so. In the words of my colleague, Chris Nelder: "No need to be hero right now."

    That being said, when the smoke does clear, there will be some excellent buying opportunities. Until then, it just seems to make more sense to focus on what's going to move us forward tomorrow...not what's dragging the whole market down today.

    And market meltdown or not, the green sector continued to advance this week. It's just that few could pull themselves away from the avalanche of bad news long enough to see much else.

    Probably some of the most exciting news for us came out of Brussels this week when it was announced that the E.U. had released its latest climate change proposal that would require a target for supplying 20 percent of its energy needs from renewables by 2020.

    Folks, this target will only help contribute to the already strong renewable energy momentum in Europe.

    We expect to see some of the biggest opportunities stem from the wind energy market (especially the offshore variety) in the UK. The British Wind Energy Association expects to see between 6,000 to 7,000 offshore turbines by 2020. That could provide about 25% of the country's electricity.

    And Italy and Spain are projected to offer up some serious growth in solar this year too. In fact, it's because of Spain's aggressive solar initiatives that two of our solar plays, one in Green Chip Stocks and another in the Alternative Energy Speculator, continue to deliver.

    The carbon trading industry is expected to gain a lot from this proposal too.

    There was also another interesting piece of news this week that didn't get nearly the attention it would've received had it been released during more stable market conditions. That little electric car company, Zap (OTCBB:ZAAP ), announced earlier this week that it had received an order for 30 of its electric trucks from Montevideo Refrescos. This is a subsidiary of Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO). Montevideo plans to use the trucks for deliveries in Uruguay's capital.

    And finally, on Tuesday, Lockheed Martin announced that it was expanding its business operations to capture the private energy-management market. Apparently, the military behemoth doubled sales of its energy conservation services to private companies in 2007.

    Of course, we're not surprised. This is a sector that's expected to be one of the most profitable of 2008. It's a short-term fix to a long-term energy crisis. And it's a hell of a lot cheaper than building new power plants. Rest assured, we'll continue to cover this sector throughout the year.

    To a new way of life, and a new generation of wealth...
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    booyah to that!

    This January selloff is the best time to get in solars.
  • Luis · 1 year ago
    Lisa...I know you track solars closely...what do you think of SOLF?
  • crocodile · 1 year ago
    can anyone tell me briefly how this overnight day trade works ???
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    I'm gonna explain that on my next post tonite or tomorrow.
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    It's impossible for AAPL to go lower than 117
    AAPL at $117. That's the 61% Fibonacci Support
  • elmyko · 1 year ago
    Honestly some one is going to do something about this whole bond insurers mess i can't see it just play out to be a huge mess. Don't see how the Fed would let that happen but hey we will see.
  • lilme · 1 year ago
    My best guess: Wed the market will tank because the Fed will NOT lower rates further: BB has to be humiliated by the cuts this week and the reaction and will not cut further now.....
  • barry · 1 year ago
    It was'nt long ago that a few posters were long AAPL
    at 190 & 180. Also long stocks like CROX right at the
    top at 70 & then still in the 60's, 50's & 40's,...etc.
    Remember...Broken clocks are right twice a day !
  • fortune8 · 1 year ago
    55

    bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughter.

    That is one of my pet peeve when people say long they really mean trade.

    No one in the right mind would buy and hold AAPL at 180 -190.

    But as a trade, the risk vs reward is there provided you don't let the loss run out of hand.

    Buy AAPL at 130 and get out at a 5% loss. If you have a 5% gain then take it.

    I have complained about leaving profit on the table quite often. But taking profit on AAPL has saved my arse. So it's a two way street.
  • barry · 1 year ago
    Here, Here to the two way street F8 .
  • elmyko · 1 year ago
    Hey beanie and Z whats your take on WFR kinda pissed about today thought it was going to do a lot better then almost yesterdays close. Personally don't see how it will go lower then where it is but hey first time i have been in a market like this. Also holding PBW STP and JASO honestly don' feel like they can all that lower hoping as i look at the charts that they are building a base were they are at for a more technical move up
  • beanieville · 1 year ago
    It sold off because it hit the 50dayMA resistance at 77.25 and couldn't stay above it. This is normal when you hit resistance as big as the 50dayMA; you normally will selloff. Give it a few days, i'm pretty sure it'll mount an attack at that level again.
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    Low Bidder—BB13,2 middle bands in steep decline

    CSIQ Failed at middle band—
    CSUN 10.6 middle band resistance
    ESLR M.B. 13.5-stuck 100d 12.2
    FSLR 100 d = 178.7 failed—MB 196
    JASO MB = 64.3 failed

    and here's your question---???
    LDK above MB—Middle Band is not in a steep decline –next resistance is 47 or upper band--= 50/50 to me---I don’t know what to do with LDK
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    IPSU is a short sell at it’s 200 day is 23.3
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    PBW middle band = 22.8 ---big resistance—
    then $24 = 100 day
    then $26 = upper BB13,2 band--

    PBW at 200 day= 22.1** failed
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    I know I will never get PBW at $18.50 again, probably
    zee
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    If I see 19.5 PBW--I'm backing the truck, limo,Brooklyn Bridge-- in---
  • fortune8 · 1 year ago
    I am impounding all your trucks !!!
  • zstock · 1 year ago
    what about the bridge?--take it to the scrap metal yard...
    lol
    zee
  • sunfun · 1 year ago
    This guy lost eveyrhting on AAPl, his house and money..check the comments on his last post....guys becarwful with the markets...If yo uare in profits take out all the money and u can get in once the dust settles.

    https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=695311...
  • sunfun · 1 year ago
    End of the market...REad this..

    http://www.movethemarkets.com/blog/2008/01/03/t...

    He is atleast honest...Guys now tell me how much are your losses...

    this guy is at 80% loss
  • sunfun · 1 year ago
    from the above bolg:


    I don’t exactly know where I go from here. My every waking moment has been trading, markets and everything in between for the last few years. Podcasts, websites, books, talk-radio… Suddenly, my world seems to have gone silent. I’m a very driven person, and I don’t take much down time. Every spare second was spent doing something related to my goals. Now my driving purpose has faded away, and my life seems empty. That purpose and clear direction is destroyed. I plan on focusing now on those close to me who need that energy and attention that I’ve been spending elsewhere. Maybe this is the answer that I’ve been seeking all along, trying to find it in a few R’s when it was right in the walls of my own home.
  • sunfun · 1 year ago
    Careful whoever holding DRYS..looks like its a favourite short

    Barron’s Roundtable members like WMI, ROH, INTC, XLNX, EUM, FXP, SCJ, FIS, HAFC, BAC, LNC, PAY, CHK, HIG, DVN, ESV, AVT, ROST, ZINC and ELRN.

    Shorts include: XLY, FXI and DRYS.
  • sunfun · 1 year ago
    AAPL..missing phones...

    “Plugged In” column discusses Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone sales. Last week, AT&T (T) revealed that as of yr-end it had only 2m or so active Apple subs. That's a disconnect b/c Apple just announced with great fanfare at MacWorld that is has sold more than 4m phones. Considering that 3.75m units were sold through Dec31 and assuming about 350K of those were sold in Europe, that leaves about 1.4m US iPhones missing in action, says Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi. "We were anxious about inventory b/c Apple was so reticent about it," Sacconaghi told. Unaccounted inventory "was a little bigger than we thought," he says. There are two things that can account for the missing handsets: carrier inventory and unlocked phones. iPhone owners who didn't want to use AT&T or Apple's European wireless carriers have cracked open the phones to use with unauthorized networks. Nobody knows how big this number is except for Apple and the carriers. Sacconaghi ests that about 20% of all iPhones sold are improperly unlocked, which, he says, means at least 670K iPhones are sitting on the shelves of AT&T and the euro-carriers.
  • johnny appleseed · 1 year ago
    welcome to last week, sunfun...the story has ben posted 1,000 times nd has already been changed by Sacconaghi..
  • richb7a · 1 year ago
    What is your viewof joyg?
  • yao ming · 1 year ago
    ha
  • X08 · 1 year ago
    AAPL is screwed..short the pig to 90's..

    http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/0...

    too many returns expected this year..